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Middle East Observer

Thursday, April 17, 2025

US Stock Market Feels the Heat of Trump’s Trade Wars

Must read

President Donald Trump’s tariff policies have incited investor anxiety, leading to a significant sell-off in the U.S. stock market. This downturn has erased a staggering $4 trillion from the S&P 500 since its peak, as reported by Reuters and analyzed by financial experts worldwide.

Investors, businesses, and consumers are all grappling with the implications of Trump’s aggressive tariff moves, which have targeted key trading partners including Canada, Mexico, and China. The resulting uncertainty has deeply affected market stability, with the S&P 500 experiencing its largest daily drop of the year, down 2.7% on Monday. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite saw its worst single-day decline since September 2022, sliding 4%.

The stock market‘s recent volatility has wiped out gains made since Trump’s election in November 2016, bringing the S&P 500 down nearly 3% during his tenure. According to data from Goldman Sachs, hedge funds have also reduced their stock exposure at unprecedented levels in recent years, signaling a lack of confidence in the market‘s immediate future.

Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird, suggests that the Trump administration might be willing to endure market losses to achieve broader policy goals. “This stance could be a significant wake-up call for Wall Street,” he notes, pointing to the administration’s acceptance of potential recessions for strategic gains.

Furthermore, a Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis report highlights the disparity in wealth distribution in the U.S., with the wealthiest 10% owning 87% of corporate equities and mutual fund shares. This imbalance has sparked critical conversations about the economic implications of stock market fluctuations on different socioeconomic groups.

Delta Air Lines recently adjusted its first-quarter profit forecasts downward by 50%, attributing the revision to the heightened economic uncertainty in the U.S. This sentiment echoes across sectors, as companies brace for potential disruptions.

Despite the sell-off, stock valuations remain above historical averages, with the S&P 500 trading at over 21 times forward earnings estimates, compared to a long-term average of 15.8, according to LSEG Datastream. As investors navigate this volatile landscape, defensive sectors such as utilities have shown some resilience, posting modest gains during the market‘s downturn.

As the global community closely monitors the U.S. administration’s policies, the potential impacts on international trade and economic stability are at the forefront of economic discussions. With many experts now signaling the possibility of an impending recession, there is a palpable sense of anticipation and concern. The world is poised, watching as this financial narrative unfolds, aware that the next developments could significantly redefine economic landscapes across the globe.

Reports

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